Gallup 5/4: Obama back to 4 pt lead

Obama back to a lead in Gallup; must have had a real strong Saturday showing

Just posted on their site:

Gallup Daily: Obama 49%, Clinton 45%McCain leads Obama in general election; Clinton-McCain essentially even

PRINCETON, NJ -- Gallup Poll Daily tracking shows Barack Obama is the current choice of 49% of Democratic voters nationwide for the party's presidential nomination, while 45% back Hillary Clinton.

The four percentage point advantage for Obama is not statistically significant, and marks the 11th consecutive day that neither Clinton nor Obama has held a significant lead. Obama held leads throughout much of April, while Clinton has not held a significant lead in Gallup's national tracking polling since mid-March, and at that time for just one day. She has not consistently led since before the Super Tuesday primaries in early February. (To view the complete trend since Jan. 3, 2008, click here.)

Obama edged out Clinton in Saturday's Guam caucuses, winning by a mere seven votes of more than 4,500 ballots cast. The much more significant Indiana and North Carolina primaries will take place on Tuesday.

Clinton has been running better versus John McCain than Obama in the Gallup tracking general election trial heats for the last four days, though McCain has the edge over each Democrat. Registered voters currently prefer McCain to Clinton by 46%-45% and McCain to Obama by 47%-42%. -- Jeff Jones